Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 4/13/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 13, 2025

Updated Apr 14, 2025 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+104/-142).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 26.9% rate, Aaron Gordon's three-point ability has risen this year to 42.7%.
Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 38.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.8 more than he's been on the court for overall this season.
The Denver Nuggets will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from competing against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 6th-best in in the league while playing on the road with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Aaron Gordon has successfully made 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's converted over the course of the season away from his home court.

Favors Under

In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on three-pointers (lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
Aaron Gordon is expected to experience a decrease in performance for all stats as a result of being on the road in this game.

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