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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has logged 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games on the road, 6.2 higher than he's logged over the course of the year on the road.

Aaron Gordon has converted 55.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 10.2% higher than he's made from three overall this year.

Aaron Gordon has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

The matchup against Golden State is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Golden State Warriors are at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8).

The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.

The Warriors have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

The matchup vs. Golden State is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Warriors are playing at home (9th-least in the league).

Aaron Gordon will likely experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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