Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has logged 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games on the road, 6.2 higher than he's logged over the course of the year on the road.
Aaron Gordon has converted 55.5% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 10.2% higher than he's made from three overall this year.
Aaron Gordon has averaged 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The matchup against Golden State is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Golden State Warriors are at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 2nd-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8).
The 7th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
The Warriors have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Warriors are playing at home (9th-least in the league).
Aaron Gordon will likely experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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