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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2025

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has totaled 19.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's totaled in all games this season.

Aaron Gordon has sunk 59.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 13.7% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 5.6 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Lakers, identifying this as a good matchup.

The 5th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied just 26.9 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 32.3 minutes per game last season.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The number of points totaled against Jaxson Hayes has been quite low (11.4 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (7th percentile).

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.

The clash with Jaxson Hayes as it relates to drawing fouls slots into the 7th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs attempting just 2.4 free throws per game this year.

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