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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has sunk 51.7% of his field goals while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Aaron Gordon has made 59.4% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 14.6% higher than he's made over the course of the season.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 15.8 shot attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Warriors, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

The 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has played just 26.9 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 32.3 minutes per game last season.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.

This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Warriors, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Aaron Gordon will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player production across the board.

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