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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 7.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's sunk in all games this year.

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 53.9% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 9.3% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.

With respect to offense, the Nuggets's outstanding 124.0 points per game at home comes in as the 2nd-strongest in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a favorable one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).

Aaron Gordon should see a spike in performance across the board as a result of holding the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team.

The Nuggets will likely suffer a reduction in plays today from being pitted against the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league this year (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 10.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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