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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/9/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has sunk 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.

Aaron Gordon has played 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's played in all games this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league this year.

The Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 8th-best in in the league without the home court advantage with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a difficult one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.3%).

Aaron Gordon will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player production for all stats.

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