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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 2/24/2025

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 53.2% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 10.3% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.

The Nuggets are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-speediest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pacers).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7th-best in in the league as the visting team with 12.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Aaron Gordon has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games on the road, 23.9% higher than he's made over the course of the season while playing on the road.

The matchup against the Pacers is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 5.8 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 2.5 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, resulting in a difficult matchup.

The Nuggets have played at the 8th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road.

Aaron Gordon should suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing away from home in this game.

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