Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 22, 2025

Updated Feb 23, 2025 1:08 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-124/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has sunk 42.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.6 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games at home.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in plays in this game from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Nuggets check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 32.3 rate, Aaron Gordon's playing time has decreased this year to 26.7 minutes per game.
With respect to three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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