Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 2/20/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 20, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 4:44 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of offense, the Denver Nuggets's fantastic 123.4 points per game with the home court advantage measures as the highest in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 55.8% on shots from the field (best in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, branding this as a strong matchup.
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
Aaron Gordon has successfully made 89.3% of his free throws over the last 15 games, 8.8% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
Aaron Gordon will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to improve stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 5.5 clip, Aaron Gordon's shots scored have diminished this season to 4.2 per game.
Aaron Gordon has played a mere 26.5 minutes per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 32.3 minutes per game last year.
The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 7thworst in in the league at home with just 10.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Charlotte Hornets are the visiting team (3rd-least in the NBA).

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