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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers

 
 
 
Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Gordon has sunk 40.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
  • The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games on their home court.
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Aaron Gordon will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Gordon has sunk a mere 50.2% of his field goals this season, significantly lower than his 57.8 rate last season.
  • The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to shot attempts from downtown.
  • This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 29.6% on threes (4th-worst in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers, identifying this as a tough matchup.
  • The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Trail Blazers).
  • The matchup vs. Portland may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Trail Blazers are on the road (2nd-least in the NBA).

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