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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 2/6/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 89th percentile for 3-point ability with an impressive 39.8% rate this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 8th-best in in the league while playing at home with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 20.2% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Aaron Gordon is expected to see a rise in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.

Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 15.1 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Orlando Magic, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.

The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

The matchup vs. Orlando may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 2.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Orlando Magic are away from home (3rd-least in the league).

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