Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 31, 2025

Updated Feb 1, 2025 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 61.3% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 7.9% higher than he's converted overall this year away from home.
In comparison to last year's 26.9% rate, Aaron Gordon's 3-point prowess has surged this year to 37.1%.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a strong one for 3-point shots; when the Philadelphia 76ers are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (45.6%).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 3rd-best in in the league with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the 76ers have the home court advantage (7th-least in the league).
Aaron Gordon will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to reduce stat production for all stats.

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