Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 29, 2025

Updated Jan 30, 2025 12:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon registers in the 81st percentile for field goal proficiency with an excellent 51.9% rate this year.
In contrast to last season's 26.9% clip, Aaron Gordon's 3-point proficiency has jumped this season to 37.1%.
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA while playing away from home with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Aaron Gordon has attempted 3.4 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 18.6% on threes (worst in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-most lethargic pace offense in the league this year (the Knicks).
The matchup against New York is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game this year when the New York Knicks are at home (5th-least in the league).
Aaron Gordon will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease player production in all facets of the game.

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