Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 23, 2025

Updated Jan 24, 2025 1:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has made 66.2% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 12.5% more than he's made in all games this year.
Aaron Gordon has converted 68.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 14.2% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season while playing at home.
The Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.
The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has played a mere 26.8 minutes per game this year, quite a bit less than his 32.3 minutes per game last year.
The Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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