Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 2:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -142.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has made 57.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 5.4% more than he's made in all games this season.
Aaron Gordon has sunk 61.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 14.1% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year while at home.
The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games playing at home.
Aaron Gordon ought to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has played a lowly 27.1 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 32.3 minutes per game last season.
The Denver Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 4thworst in in the league with the home court advantage with a mere 9.0 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

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