Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 19, 2025

Updated Jan 19, 2025 8:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 26.9% mark, Aaron Gordon's three-point efficiency has spiked this season to 37.7%.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.
The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Aaron Gordon has made 87.5% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.4% higher than he's made overall this season.

Favors Under

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.
Aaron Gordon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production across the board.

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