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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 1/14/2025

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon places in the 81st percentile for shooting efficiency with a remarkable 52.1% rate this year.

Aaron Gordon has made a whopping 40.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this season, significantly higher than his 26.9 mark last season.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Mavericks have played at the 8th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which should boost possessions for the Denver Nuggets.

The Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces player production for all stats.

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