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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 12/25/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 14.1 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 75th percentile.

In regard to shooting, the Nuggets's exceptional 121.2 points per game while on the road ranks best in the league over the last 15 games.

The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 88th percentile for getting to the foul line, tallying a massive 3.9 free throw attempts per game this year.

The matchup vs. Phoenix may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.3 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Phoenix Suns have the home court advantage (2nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns is a difficult one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 3rd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (29.1%).

The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player production across the board.

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