Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon registers in the 80th percentile for field goal ability with a terrific 52.7% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon slots into the 78th percentile for three-point efficiency while playing on the road with a phenomenal 41.2% rate this year.
In regard to shooting, the Nuggets's stellar 124.0 points per game while on the road rates 3rd-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
Aaron Gordon has attempted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a hard one for threes; opposing starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (29.6%).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Aaron Gordon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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