Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 12/7/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 7, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-104/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nuggets have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team.
The matchup against Washington is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Washington Wizards are on their home court, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 7th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.6).
The 3rd-fastest pace visiting team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
The Wizards have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Washington Wizards, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets grade out 5thworst in in the league with just 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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