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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 12/3/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 59.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.0% higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

The matchup vs. the Warriors is a strong one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 5th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (14.4).

The 6th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.

The Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Relative to last season's 1.1 rate, Aaron Gordon's bricked free throws have regressed this season to 0.5 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

As it relates to 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a decline in possessions today from being pitted against the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).

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