Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-108/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has converted 57.4% of his field goals since the start of last season, ranking him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Aaron Gordon has sunk 59.3% of his treys over the last 5 games, 9.9% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon lands in the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 31.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season.
This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 4.9 three attempts per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Raptors, designating this as a positive matchup.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In regard to getting to the foul line, the Nuggets's poor 20.0 free throw attempts per game places 2nd-worst in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Raptors may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the league).

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