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Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Aaron Gordon has sunk 57.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 30.0% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season.Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 36.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.Relative to last year's 1.7 rate, Aaron Gordon's off-target free throws have been reduced this year to 1.2 per game.Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Timberwolves, easily managing to draw fouls.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Aaron Gordon has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.This year, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled 14.5 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.The 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
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