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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 5/10/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 62.9% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 7.3% higher than he's made in all games this year while playing on the road.

Aaron Gordon has averaged 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.

The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has attempted 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 2.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 20th percentile for 3-point effectiveness with a poor 25.2% rate this year.

In terms of 3-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league on the road this year has been the Nuggets.

This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive performance.

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Denver Nuggets.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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