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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 5/4/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon measures in the 90th percentile for scoring proficiency with a terrific 57.4% rate this year.

Aaron Gordon has averaged 40.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.2 more than he's averaged in all games this year.

In regard to offense, the Nuggets's excellent 115.8 points per game ranks 2nd-most in the league over the last 10 games.

Aaron Gordon has failed to make 1.2 foul shots per game this year, quite a bit less than his 1.7 rate last year.

The matchup vs. Minnesota may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 6.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Timberwolves are the visiting team (6th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.

The matchup vs. the Timberwolves is a difficult one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5).

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.

The Nuggets are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 20 games (the Timberwolves).

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