Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 30, 2024 2:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 57.6% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
Aaron Gordon has tallied 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 5.6 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) vs. the Lakers, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Lakers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
The 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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