Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 25, 2024

Updated Apr 26, 2024 2:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has converted 62.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 7.0% more than he's sunk overall this season on the road.
Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 31.6 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.6 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Lakers, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has sunk 25.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, placing him in the 20th percentile out of all players in the league.
In terms of shooting, the Denver Nuggets's lackluster 111.2 points per game while on the road rates 10th-lowest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the league).
Aaron Gordon is expected to see a decline in productivity for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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