Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 22, 2024

Updated Apr 23, 2024 1:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 90th percentile for field goal performance with an impressive 57.7% rate this year.
Aaron Gordon has attempted 3.2 treys per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Aaron Gordon has played 30.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year.
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Lakers, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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