Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 7:18 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon slots into the 85th percentile for field goal ability while on the road with an outstanding 55.4% rate this year.
Aaron Gordon has played 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a favorable one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are playing at home, they have allowed the 9th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (15.8).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
The Nuggets are expected to see an increase in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-quickest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon registers in the 23rd percentile for 3-point ability with a weak 26.7% rate this year.
When it comes to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's subpar 110.8 points per game as the visting team settles in as the 10th-worst in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Memphis Grizzlies may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 12 games (3rd-least in the NBA).
Aaron Gordon will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production across the board.

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