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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2024

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has attempted 12.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 30.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

The Spurs have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court, which should raise opportunities for the Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has failed to convert 1.2 free throws per game this season, significantly less than his 1.7 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have notched 8.6 points per game (lowest in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive performance.

The 4th-least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

The matchup vs. Julian Champagnie is a hard one for drawing fouls; when squaring off against opposing starting SFs this year, they have attempted just 2.1 free throws per game (13th percentile).

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