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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has attempted 12.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this year.

Aaron Gordon has made 44.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 10.2% more than he's converted from three in all games this season while playing at home.

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 30.7 minutes per game while on his home court this year.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. Cleveland may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a massive 4.4 free throws per game over the last 20 games when the Cavaliers are the visiting squad (2nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Cavaliers is a challenging one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 3rd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.9).

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the league this year.

The Denver Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from facing the least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).

As a team, the Nuggets have been lousy at drawing fouls: 2nd-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.1 foul shots per game.

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