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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/27/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Aaron Gordon has made 65.2% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 7.4% higher than he's converted in all games this season.
  • Aaron Gordon has averaged 30.5 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
  • This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 41.1% on three-pointers (8th-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a positive matchup.
  • The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns).
  • The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.
  • As a team, the Denver Nuggets have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year, tallying just 20.1 foul shots per game.
  • Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Suns, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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