Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 23, 2024

Updated Mar 24, 2024 2:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 66.5% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 8.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 83rd percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 31.4 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in the league while playing away from home with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (7th-most in the league) against the Trail Blazers, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

In terms of scoring, the Denver Nuggets's unimpressive 110.8 points per game on the road ranks 8th-fewest in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 29.6% on three-pointers (4th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, marking this as a tough matchup.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo away team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 3rd-most sluggish pace home offense in the league this year (the Trail Blazers).
Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 14th percentile for free-throw ability with a weak 61.4% rate this year.

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