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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/19/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 80.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 21.8% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 31.4 minutes per game this year.

The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league away from their home court this year.

The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (14.5).

The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Nuggets.

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