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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has sunk 56.4% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.

Aaron Gordon has tallied 30.5 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

As it relates to scoring, the Nuggets's outstanding 50.6% field goal rate at home measures as the 3rd-highest in the league this year.

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season on his home court.

Aaron Gordon will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually improves stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 5.2 shots made from the field per game (14th-lowest in the NBA) against the Boston Celtics, making this a hard matchup.

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.

The Nuggets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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