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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has converted 71.7% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 14.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Aaron Gordon has averaged 31.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.

The matchup vs. the Lakers is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.6).

The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 11thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon comes in at the 91st percentile for technical fouls, putting up a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.

The 2nd-least up-tempo pace away team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.

The Lakers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon has converted 62.1% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking in the 16th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

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