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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon places in the 86th percentile for scoring ability with a an exceptional 55.6% rate this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 2nd-most efficient shooting team in the NBA playing at home this year.

The matchup against the Sacramento Kings is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 25th-highest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (52.6%).

The Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.

The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.

The slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (14th-least in the league).

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