Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 8, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 3:15 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has sunk 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 22.3% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
Aaron Gordon has tallied 31.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 84th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers is a strong one for 3-point attempts; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
The Nuggets are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Nuggets have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Denver Nuggets have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road.
The slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA).
Aaron Gordon ought to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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