Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 14, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 3:49 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 68.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 12.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.
Aaron Gordon has sunk 44.2% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 15.5% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 81st percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.9 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.
As it relates to scoring, the Denver Nuggets's excellent 123.4 points per game places 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 2.5 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 1stworst in in the league when playing at home with a mere 6.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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