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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

Aaron Gordon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon measures in the 79th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 30.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

As it relates to 3-pointers, the Denver Nuggets's excellent 38.4% rate of sunk threes while playing at home measures as the 8th-strongest in the NBA this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 44.0% on threes (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, designating this as a good matchup.

The Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.

The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.

The slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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