Aaron Gordon Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Made 3 Point Shots

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 3:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 31.9 minutes per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Kings is a strong one for 3-point shots; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 23rd-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (38.3%).
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has come down with 9.1 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Gordon registers in the 24th percentile for three-point proficiency with a a bad 27.0% rate this year.
Aaron Gordon has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year has been the Nuggets.
The Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Aaron Gordon will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsen player production across the board.

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