Aaron Gordon Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/15/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 15, 2025

Updated May 16, 2025 12:23 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has compiled 3.5 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's best by this standard over this stretch of games: 80th percentile.
Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 38.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games playing at home, 7.8 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the season at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost possessions for the Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Aaron Gordon is expected to see a rise in output across the board in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.5 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.
The Nuggets have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court.

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