Aaron Gordon Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/13/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · May 13, 2025

Updated May 13, 2025 10:04 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has tallied 3.1 assists per game this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric in recent days.
Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 37.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.1 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Thunder).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated overall this season.
The 7th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
Aaron Gordon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens stat production across the board.

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