Aaron Gordon Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 9, 2025

Updated May 9, 2025 10:54 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has compiled 3.3 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's leaders in this category recently: 79th percentile.
Aaron Gordon has averaged 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 9.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder).
The Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Aaron Gordon will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to boost player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.5 more than he's accumulated in all games this year at home.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

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