Aaron Gordon Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Apr 29, 2025

Updated Apr 30, 2025 1:48 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has compiled 3.3 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the league in this category in recent days: 79th percentile.
Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 41.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 11.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year at home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in in the league while at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Aaron Gordon ought to see an increase in productivity in all stat categories in light of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year at home.
The Nuggets have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Clippers have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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