Aaron Gordon Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/26/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 26, 2025

Updated Mar 27, 2025 12:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has put up 3.7 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA in this category in recent games: 83rd percentile.
Aaron Gordon has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA at home this year.
The Nuggets have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Aaron Gordon is expected to see a spike in effectiveness in all stat categories due to possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Nuggets.

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