Aaron Gordon Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 12, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 8:00 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has totaled 3.4 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the NBA by this standard over this stretch: 82nd percentile.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
The Nuggets have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon figures to experience a decrease in efficiency across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

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