Aaron Gordon Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 22, 2024

Updated Apr 23, 2024 1:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-180/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has put up 6.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's put up overall this season.
Aaron Gordon has played 30.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Aaron Gordon should get a boost in effectiveness across the board in light of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA this year.

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