Aaron Gordon Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 2:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has posted 5.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's posted over the course of the season.
Aaron Gordon has averaged 30.5 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Phoenix Suns).
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Aaron Gordon ought to see a rise in effectiveness across the board as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.

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