Aaron Gordon Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics · Mar 7, 2024

Updated Mar 8, 2024 2:37 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has tallied 3.2 assists per game this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's best by this standard over this stretch of games.
Aaron Gordon has tallied 30.5 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
Aaron Gordon will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually improves stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has averaged 0.0 technical fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.
The Nuggets rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics (preserving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).

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